Research Funding in 2026: Expect Whiplash and Sustained Uncertainty

Two stories released over the weekend that I think illustrate the kind of year to expect for research funding in 2026.

Congress Pushing Back on Cuts

First, on the more encouraging side, Congress is moving to blunt or reverse proposed cuts to federal science agencies. Even amid broader fiscal and political pressure, there is clear bipartisan concern about the scale of the reductions being contemplated and what they would mean for U.S. research capacity.

Source: New York Times - Trump Science Budget Cuts Face Congressional Pushback

Senior NIH Leaders Resign

Second, on the more concerning side, four senior NIH leaders resigned, citing political interference, cancellation or reshaping of awards, and constraints on scientific communication. This is not routine turnover. It is a signal of significant institutional stress and a reshaping of governance norms.

Source: STAT News - Four NIH Leaders Resign, Citing Interference and Censorship

The Pattern for 2026

Taken together, this feels like the pattern to expect in 2026. Whiplash. Continuing volatility. A widening gap between long-standing research institutions trying to maintain continuity and an environment that is increasingly unpredictable.

For universities, academic medicine, and research leaders, this is less about any single budget cycle and more about planning under sustained uncertainty. Scenario planning, diversification of funding sources, and faster institutional decision-making are no longer optional.

Curious how others are thinking about planning and risk management in this environment. Feel free to reach out to share your perspective.